empty
17.01.2025 07:35 AM
How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on January 17? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades

1H Chart of GBP/USD

This image is no longer relevant

On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair exhibited low volatility and mostly moved sideways. This week has brought an unusual amount of notable reports from the UK, but what conclusions can we draw from them? The inflation rate has declined, which is bearish for the GBP since it may prompt the Bank of England to lower interest rates more quickly. Additionally, the UK economy showed slower growth than expected in November, essentially barely registering any growth at all. Industrial production, as is often the case, contracted once again, this time by 0.4%. Given these factors, it is difficult to see a basis for the pound to strengthen. We must also consider the rising inflation in the US, which diminishes the Federal Reserve's inclination to lower the key rate. Overall, it seems that the four most significant reports of the week suggest a potential continuation of the GBP/USD decline.

5M Chart of GBP/USD

This image is no longer relevant

On the 5-minute timeframe, only one sell signal was generated on Thursday, appearing late in the evening and lacking precision. By the middle of the U.S. trading session, the price approached the 1.2241-1.2270 zone but failed to break through. Although there wasn't a clear rebound, the currency pair still has the potential to continue its downward movement today, as the macroeconomic data continue to favor the dollar over the pound. A strong buy signal could have been established near the 1.2170 level; however, the price fell short by just 4 pips.

Trading Strategy for Friday:

On the hourly chart, GBP/USD is continuing its downward trend. In the medium term, we fully support the scenario of the pound falling toward 1.1800, as this appears to be the most logical outcome. Therefore, we expect further declines, but trading should be guided by technical signals. This week has only reinforced the case for a continued drop in the pound, with no obstacles standing in its way.

On Friday, GBP/USD may experience calm trading, and macroeconomic data is unlikely to enable the pair to overcome the resistance zone between 1.2241 and 1.2270. As a result, a further decline seems more likely.

On the 5-minute timeframe, trading opportunities can be found at the following levels: 1.2010, 1.2052, 1.2089-1.2107, 1.2164-1.2170, 1.2241-1.2270, 1.2316, 1.2372-1.2387, 1.2445, 1.2502-1.2508, 1.2547, 1.2633, 1.2680-1.2685, 1.2723, and 1.2791-1.2798. On Friday, the UK will release its retail sales report, which is unlikely to have a significant impact on the pound. In the U.S., two relatively minor reports on industrial production and approved building permits will be released.

Core Trading System Rules:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals.

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

How to Trade the GBP/USD Currency Pair on July 8TH? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Monday Trade Analysis: GBP/USD 1H chart On Monday, the GBP/USD pair was clearly trading sideways. On the hourly timeframe, it consolidated below the ascending trendline, but in our view, this

Paolo Greco 10:45 2025-07-08 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Currency Pair on July 8th: Simple Tips and Trade Review for Beginners

Monday Trade Review: EUR/USD, 1H Chart On Monday, the EUR/USD pair traded with a downward bias, and the U.S. dollar posted a fairly strong gain. As we've mentioned before, even

Paolo Greco 10:09 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Trade Analysis for GBP/USD on July 8th

The GBP/USD currency pair also declined on Monday. However, on its uncertain downward path, the pair encountered the Senkou Span B line of the Ichimoku indicator for the third time—and

Paolo Greco 07:42 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Trade Analysis for EUR/USD on July 8th

The EUR/USD pair traded with a downward bias on Monday, even though there were no fundamental reasons supporting the dollar's strength. However, the dollar's rise was weak, which is especially

Paolo Greco 06:51 2025-07-08 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on July 7th (Review of Morning Trades)

In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3602 level and planned to use it to determine entry points into the market. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what

Miroslaw Bawulski 13:21 2025-07-07 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on July 7th (Review of the Morning Trades)

In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.1749 level and planned to base market entry decisions around it. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and break down what happened

Miroslaw Bawulski 13:20 2025-07-07 UTC+2

How to Trade the GBP/USD Currency Pair on July 7th? Simple Tips and Trade Review for Beginners

On Friday, the GBP/USD pair showed total flat movement and low volatility. As with the EUR/USD pair, there was no news that day, and no macroeconomic publications were released either

Paolo Greco 07:48 2025-07-07 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Currency Pair on July 7th: Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Friday Trade Analysis: EUR/USD 1H Chart The EUR/USD pair stayed flat all day Friday, with volatility totaling 36 points, clearly indicating a lack of trading activity. This is not surprising

Paolo Greco 07:32 2025-07-07 UTC+2

GBP/USD Trading Recommendations and Trade Analysis for July 7th

The GBP/USD currency pair traded with low volatility and primarily moved sideways. As mentioned earlier, last week was particularly interesting in how the market interpreted various events and publications

Paolo Greco 07:11 2025-07-07 UTC+2

EUR/USD Trading Recommendations and Trade Analysis for July 7th

The EUR/USD currency pair did not exhibit any notable movements on Friday—or any movements at all. Friday was Independence Day in the United States, effectively making it a non-trading

Paolo Greco 07:03 2025-07-07 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.