empty
20.09.2024 04:57 PM
GBP/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/JPY pair has been climbing for five consecutive days, nearing a three-week high as it attempts to recover the 191.00 level. This upward movement is influenced by selling pressure on the Japanese yen, triggered by less hawkish remarks from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda during a press conference. Additionally, Japan's interest rates remained unchanged, contrary to expectations. Ueda noted that while prices in the country remain high, the risks of inflation exceeding targets have diminished. This undermines the yen's safe-haven appeal amid bullish global market sentiment.

Meanwhile, the British pound is benefiting from the Bank of England's decision to keep rates unchanged and reduce its holdings of government bonds by another £100 billion over the next 12 months. This decision provides additional momentum to the GBP/JPY pair, supporting its upward trend.

From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is gaining positive momentum, reinforcing the outlook for further growth. However, the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) has declined below the 200-day SMA, signaling caution for the bulls. As a result, any further upward movement may encounter strong resistance around the 50-day SMA, currently near the 191.75 level. Beyond that is the psychological level of 192.00, and surpassing this level could push the GBP/JPY pair higher, though it may face resistance at the 200-day SMA around the 192.35 level.

On the other hand, the 190.40–190.35 zone offers immediate support before the key psychological level of 190.00 and horizontal support at 189.45. Further selling pressure could drag the GBP/JPY pair lower toward the 189.00 level, with the potential to reach the swing low of 188.65. Failure to defend these support levels could pave the way for deeper losses, with spot prices potentially accelerating toward the round number of 188.00 and beyond.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the EUR/JPY pair is regaining positive momentum after yesterday's pullback from the 173.25 level, which now marks the yearly high, and is maintaining intraday growth. Spot prices are currently

Irina Yanina 19:08 2025-07-17 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

On Thursday, the USD/CAD pair received support from buyers and rose above the key 1.3700 level, driven by the overall strengthening of the US dollar. Spot prices have corrected

Irina Yanina 12:14 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Not Everyone at the Fed Agrees with Powell

Given the current confusion within the Federal Reserve and the mounting pressure on its Chair Jerome Powell, not all policymakers agree that interest rates should remain elevated. Thomas Barkin, President

Jakub Novak 11:43 2025-07-17 UTC+2

The Dollar Was Shaken Yesterday — Here's Why

The U.S. dollar came under heavy selling pressure yesterday following media reports suggesting that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might be dismissed in the near future. This unexpected development triggered

Jakub Novak 11:38 2025-07-17 UTC+2

The Fed Needs to Be Patient

While the U.S. dollar continues to show high volatility driven by Trump's statements, Susan Collins, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, once again stated in an interview that

Jakub Novak 11:30 2025-07-17 UTC+2

What's Holding Back a Confident Rally in the U.S. Stock Market? (Moderate upside potential for #SPX and #NDX contracts remains)

The U.S. stock market has been consolidating for the second consecutive week amid conflicting signals that continue to set the tone for equity movements in the current environment. What's behind

Pati Gani 10:13 2025-07-17 UTC+2

The Market Stands Firmly Behind the Fed

Trump always backs down. And the U.S. President skillfully manipulates the markets. It is quite possible that the rehearsal for firing Jerome Powell was his idea. The goal

Marek Petkovich 09:05 2025-07-17 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on July 17? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Several macroeconomic releases are scheduled for Thursday. In the United Kingdom, data on unemployment, jobless claims, and wages will be published. However, it's worth noting that the market ignored yesterday's

Paolo Greco 07:41 2025-07-17 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – July 17: The UK Has Accepted Trump's Terms. Consequences

The GBP/USD currency pair also traded more calmly on Wednesday compared to Tuesday, although a surge occurred in the evening. Let us recall that we do not consider Tuesday's decline

Paolo Greco 03:21 2025-07-17 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 17: U.S. Inflation Will Only Accelerate

The EUR/USD currency pair traded more calmly on Wednesday than it had on Tuesday, remaining relatively stable until the evening. There were no major fundamental or macroeconomic events in either

Paolo Greco 03:21 2025-07-17 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.