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21.05.2025 06:41 PM
美元/加元。分析與預測
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美元/加元(USD/CAD)匯率連續第三天受到賣方關注。跌破1.3900水平的情況表示賣壓增加,可能導致進一步下跌。由於中東地緣政治緊張局勢,特別是來自以色列對伊朗的威脅,推動油價上漲,這引發了對潛在供應中斷的擔憂。這支持了加拿大元,因為加拿大經濟在很大程度上依賴石油出口。

此外,加拿大核心通脹數據優於預期,強化了市場對加拿大央行可能維持利率不變的預期,這也支持了加拿大元。相比之下,美元則承受壓力:由於美國的金融穩定性擔憂和對於美聯儲可能在未來繼續降息的預期,DXY指數降至兩週低點。

與特朗普政府相關的政治不確定性,以及美中貿易緊張局勢重新升溫,進一步加劇了不確定性並拉低了美元。所有這些因素創造了有利條件,使得美元/加元匯率可能繼續下行——尤其是在技術分析支持的情況下,技術分析也顯示下行趨勢可能持續。日線圖上的振盪指標仍然位於負值區域。

在缺乏重要經濟數據的情況下,今日美元走勢將受到FOMC成員演講的影響,而加拿大元則將受到油價變動和預定發佈的庫存報告的影響。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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