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13.05.2025 06:26 PM
USD/CAD:分析與預測
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今日,USD/CAD貨幣對延續了五天的上漲趨勢,目前在1.4000這一關鍵心理價位附近交易,並在北美交易時段即將公布的美國四月份消費者物價指數(CPI)數據前遭遇阻力。

CPI報告預期將顯示月度數據從-0.1%反彈至0.3%,核心CPI也預計從0.1%上升至0.3%。同比數據預計保持不變。若通脹數據超出預期,可能會強化聯邦儲備局進一步加息的理由,從而對美元走勢產生重大影響。

雖然在報告發布前美元略有回調,但美中貿易談判的積極進展提振了市場信心。雙方初步達成的關稅減少協議提升了市場樂觀情緒,並加強了對全球貿易條件改善的期待。這樣的進展支持了風險資產,並促成了USD/CAD貨幣對的持續增長。

另一個支持加元的因素是WTI原油價格的上漲,目前已超過每桶62美元。由於加拿大是美國的主要石油出口國,能源價格上升支持加元,也可能限制USD/CAD的進一步上行潛力。

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總體而言,目前的情況反映了市場對樂觀貿易發展和美國通脹數據的期待之間的平衡。若CPI數據超出預期,美元可能會進一步走高。

從技術面來看,日線圖上的相對強弱指數(RSI)剛開始呈現正向動能,加強了看漲前景。此外,4小時圖和1小時圖上的振盪指標也處於積極區域。然而,在進入新的多頭倉位之前,確認突破1.4000水平並持續走高的信號是明智的決策。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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